{"id":18,"date":"2026-09-13T07:43:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-13T07:43:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/2026\/09\/13\/geoffrey-hinton-yapay-zekanin-insanligin-sonunu-getirme-riski-icin-oran-verdi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-13T07:43:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-13T07:43:39","slug":"geoffrey-hinton-yapay-zekanin-insanligin-sonunu-getirme-riski-icin-oran-verdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/2026\/09\/13\/geoffrey-hinton-yapay-zekanin-insanligin-sonunu-getirme-riski-icin-oran-verdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Geoffrey Hinton: Yapay Zek\u00e2n\u0131n \u0130nsanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Sonunu Getirme Riski \u0130\u00e7in Oran Verdi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yapay zek\u00e2 alan\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc isimlerinden Geoffrey Hinton, ileri seviye AI sistemlerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yok olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7ma ihtimalini y\u00fczde 10 olarak de\u011ferlendirdi. Hinton, bu tahminin kesin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak riskin g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemesi gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yapay zek\u00e2 g\u00fcvenli\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, \u00f6nde gelen ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n kamuoyuna yans\u0131yan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla yeniden k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131. 2024 Nobel Fizik \u00d6d\u00fcl\u00fc sahibi Geoffrey Hinton, BBC Newsnight program\u0131nda s\u00fcper zek\u00e2 seviyesine yakla\u015fan AI sistemleri i\u00e7in insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelece\u011fini etkileyebilecek risklere dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n merkezinde biyolojik tehditler, siber sald\u0131r\u0131lar, kritik altyap\u0131lar ve yapay zek\u00e2 hizalama problemi bulunuyor. Hinton: \u201cY\u00fczde 10\u2019luk Risk Mant\u0131ks\u0131z De\u011fil\u201d Geoffrey Hinton, BBC Newsnight\u2019a verdi\u011fi r\u00f6portajda yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 yok etme ihtimaline ili\u015fkin y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk tahminin \u201cmant\u0131ks\u0131z olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Hinton, insanlar\u0131n kendilerinden daha zeki olabilecek sistemler geli\u015ftirmeye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz bilinmedi\u011fini belirtti. Hinton\u2019a g\u00f6re bu t\u00fcr oranlar kesin bilimsel hesaplamalar de\u011fil. Yapay zek\u00e2 alan\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan uzmanlar, geli\u015fmi\u015f sistemlerin kapasitesi ve kontrol edilebilirli\u011fi konusunda farkl\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere sahip.<\/p>\n<p>Hinton, bu nedenle y\u00fczde 1 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir risk varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n da fazla iyimser olabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getirdi. A\u00e7\u0131klamalar, yapay genel zek\u00e2 ve s\u00fcper zek\u00e2 sistemleri i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik \u00f6nlemlerinin tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde geldi. Yapay Zek\u00e2 Biyolojik ve Siber Tehditleri Art\u0131rabilir Hinton, geli\u015fmi\u015f bir yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n fiziksel olarak d\u00fcnyay\u0131 do\u011frudan kontrol etmeden de b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte zarar olu\u015fturabilece\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re AI sistemleri, insanlar\u0131 ikna ederek veya y\u00f6nlendirerek toplumsal karma\u015fay\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; biyolojik vir\u00fcsler ile bilgisayar vir\u00fcslerinin tasar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131rabilir ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli siber sald\u0131r\u0131lar planlayabilir. UC Berkeley profes\u00f6r\u00fc Stuart Russell da yapay zek\u00e2 destekli sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n elektrik, su, ula\u015f\u0131m ve finans sistemleri gibi kritik altyap\u0131lar\u0131 hedef alabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Bu riskler, yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na hareket etmesinden ziyade k\u00f6t\u00fc niyetli ki\u015filer veya gruplar taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 ihtimalini de kaps\u0131yor. Uzmanlar, siber g\u00fcvenlik, biyog\u00fcvenlik ve altyap\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlar\u0131nda AI . Anthropic Tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 AI G\u00fcvenli\u011fini Yeniden G\u00fcndeme Ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131 Tart\u0131\u015fma, 8 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de daha \u00f6nce OpenAI ve Anthropic\u2019te g\u00f6rev yapm\u0131\u015f ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 Jacob Coxon\u2019\u0131n kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131k istifas\u0131yla h\u0131z kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Coxon, iki \u015firketin de yapay zek\u00e2 g\u00fcvenli\u011fi konusunda yeterince sorumlu hareket etmedi\u011fini ve kendini geli\u015ftirebilen s\u00fcper zek\u00e2 yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ciddi riskler ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Anthropic\u2019in hizalama bilimi lideri Evan Hubinger ise Coxon\u2019\u0131n ele\u015ftirilerine b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Hubinger, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131lda yapay zek\u00e2n\u0131n t\u00fcm insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yok etme ihtimalini y\u00fczde 10\u2019un \u00fczerinde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etti. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k AI ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 Gary Marcus, siber sald\u0131r\u0131, biyolojik silahlar ve dezenformasyon risklerini ciddi bulsa da yak\u0131n vadede insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tamamen yok olmas\u0131 senaryosunu ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Meta\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f yapay zek\u00e2 bilimcisi Yann LeCun da bu t\u00fcr oranlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ki\u015fisel tahmin niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yapay zek\u00e2 alan\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc isimlerinden Geoffrey Hinton, ileri seviye AI sistemlerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yok olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7ma ihtimalini y\u00fczde 10 olarak de\u011ferlendirdi. Hinto\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":19,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknoloji-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alobetgir.icu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}